Scheffler’s Redemption Arc Meets Golf’s Wildest Party-2025 WM Phoenix Open

Scottie’s three-peat bid, Hideki’s desert dominance, + the $9.2M purse up for grabs (plus Brooks Koepka’s Masters confession 🍿).

Good morning. This is your Happy Valley Golf Team newsletter. Let’s get it!

Here’s what we’ve got for you today:

  • Three-Peat Alert – Scottie Scheffler’s quest to match Arnold Palmer’s historic three-peat at TPC Scottsdale’s $9.2M showdown.

  • Player Spotlight – Justin Thomas’ resurgence, Jordan Spieth’s chaos potential, and Nick Taylor’s clutch title defense.

  • Betting Guide – Sleeper picks like Sepp Straka and Matsuyama’s “silent assassin” odds (+1600) with key stats.

  • News & Drama – Brooks Koepka’s Masters choke reveal, Phil Mickelson’s Ryder Cup jab at Dustin Johnson, and LIV Golf’s latest moves.

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2025 WM Phoenix Open Preview: Golf’s Rowdiest Party Meets Scheffler’s Redemption Arc

Picture this: 20,000 fans roaring like a Metallica mosh pit, a par-3 hole doubling as a beer-fueled coliseum, and Scottie Scheffler eyeing a three-peat and revenge against last year’s rogue ravioli. Welcome to the WM Phoenix Open—where birdies meet Bud Light, and golf’s elite navigate chaos louder than a TikTok trend. Let’s break down the madness.

The Basics: Desert Drama

  • When: February 6–9, 2025

  • Where: TPC Scottsdale (Par 71, 7,261 yards)

  • Purse: $9.2 million ($1.65M to the winner)

  • FedExCup Points: 500

  • Defending Champ: Nick Taylor, who birdied three of his final four holes last year to steal the trophy in a playoff.

The Field: A Collision of Champions, Comebacks, and Chaos

This year’s Phoenix Open brings together a cast of characters as electric as the 16th hole’s crowd. Leading the charge is Scottie Scheffler, chasing history with a chance to become the first player since Arnold Palmer (1961-63) to three-peat at the event. Fresh off a T9 at Pebble Beach, the world No. 1 seems unfazed by last year’s ravioli-induced hiatus—his iron play remains surgical, and his focus sharper than the desert sun.

Justin Thomas returns to a course that’s been kind to him, boasting seven consecutive top-20 finishes here. The two-time major winner has been quietly rebuilding his game, and a Phoenix victory could reignite his swagger—something the golf world has missed since his 2022 PGA Championship win.

Then there’s Hideki Matsuyama, a two-time Phoenix Open champion (2016, 2017) whose recent Sentry Tournament of Champions triumph proves he’s still a force. His Zen-like calm and knack for desert golf make him a silent threat, especially on TPC Scottsdale’s slick greens.

Defending champ Nick Taylor arrives with momentum after a playoff thriller here last year and a Sony Open victory in January. The Canadian’s clutch gene—evident in his three closing birdies to win in 2024—turns him into a human highlight reel under pressure.

Jordan Spieth, ever the enigma, brings his trademark chaos. A five-time top-10 finisher here, he’s capable of jaw-dropping recovery shots… or meltdowns that leave fans equal parts horrified and entertained. After a wrist surgery comeback, his Phoenix performance could define his 2025 trajectory.

And don’t sleep on Sepp Straka, the burly Austrian who’s been quietly dominating early this season. A winner at The American Express and a T7 at Pebble Beach, his ball-striking prowess (ranked 5th in greens in regulation) could thrive in Scottsdale’s risk-reward layout.

Poeches Corner: Where to Throw Your Cash

Scottie Scheffler (+300) – The Ravioli Redemption

  • Stats: Led the field in Strokes Gained: Approach at Pebble Beach last week. His irons? Sharper than a cactus spine.

  • Course History: Two wins here (2022, 2023) and a T3 in 2024. Missed the cut in 2020? Ancient history.

  • X-Factor: Even with a pasta-related hand hiatus, he’s still the PGA Tour’s Terminator. Resistance is futile.

Hideki Matsuyama (+1600) – The Silent Assassin

  • Pedigree: Back-to-back wins here (2016, 2017) and a Sentry victory in January.

  • Stats: Ranks 3rd in SG: Tee-to-Green this season. Ball-striking? Smooth as a desert sunset.

  • Quiet Contender: Finished T48 at Pebble? A blip. His T2 at The Sentry proves he’s still got major mojo.

Sepp Straka (+4500) – The Sleeper’s Dream

  • Form: Won The American Express, T7 at Pebble. Dude’s hotter than a habanero margarita.

  • Key Stats: 5th in Greens in Regulation, 12th in SG: Approach. Translation: Hits fairways like a laser-guided missile.

  • Why Risk It? At 45-1, he’s the value pick for bettors who like their payouts spicier than Arizona salsa.

Kurt Kitayama (+5500) – The Underrated Ball-Striker

  • Stats: 15th in SG: Off-the-Tee, 8th in driving accuracy. If his putter wakes up, he’s a dark-horse nightmare.

  • Course Form: T8 here last year. Knows how to survive the desert without a canteen.

  • Sleeper Alert: Odds longer than a Bill Murray monologue. Perfect for “I told you so” bragging rights.

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One and Done

Hideki Matsuyama

  • Course History: Two-time Phoenix Open winner (2016, 2017) with six top-15s since 2014. Ranks 1st in SG: Approach over last 36 rounds.

  • Recent Form: Won The Sentry in January 2025 and T2 at Farmers Insurance Open.

  • Correlated Courses: Strong at Bay Hill, Olympia Fields, and Memorial Park.

Sam Burns

  • Course History: T3 (2024) and T6 (2023) at TPC Scottsdale. Third in SG: Putting.

  • Recent Form: T8 at The Sentry; strong off-the-tee stats at Pebble Beach.

  • Correlated Courses: Top-10s at Bay Hill, Olympia Fields, and Memorial Park.

Sahith Theegala

  • Course History: T3 (2022) and 5th (2024) in three career starts.

  • Recent Form: Slow 2025 start but excels in desert conditions (1st in SG: Total at TPC Scottsdale last year).

  • Bonus: High upside for a mid-tier pick; could save top stars for majors and signature events.

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Thanks for reading!

Enjoy the rest of your week,

Cody.